It is unlikely that Moscow will agree to an unconditional complete ceasefire within three weeks, as noted in a report by the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
This is reported by Kyiv24
Conditions for a Ceasefire
“Russia is unlikely to agree to a ‘complete ceasefire without any conditions’ within three weeks, considering that Russia has demanded certain easing of sanctions from the West as a prerequisite for a temporary ceasefire in the Black Sea.”
On March 30, U.S. President Donald Trump noted that there is an indefinite ‘psychological deadline’ for Russia to agree to a general ceasefire. When asked about the deadline by which Russia should agree to this, he did not provide a specific answer.
International Negotiations and Sanctions
Finnish President Alexander Stubb also pointed to the need to establish a deadline for a truce in Ukraine. On March 30, he proposed April 20 as a potential deadline for a ‘complete ceasefire without any conditions’ during a meeting with Trump on March 29.
After negotiations with the American side in Riyadh, the Kremlin stated on March 25 that the agreement to ensure the safety of shipping in the Black Sea would come into effect after the lifting of a number of sanctions on Russia, including those on the Russian state bank Rosselkhozbank and organizations involved in international trade in food and fertilizers.
On March 28, Bloomberg reported that Russia is demanding the European Union (EU) restore Rosselkhozbank’s connection to the international banking system SWIFT as a condition for implementing the Black Sea ceasefire, which will serve as a test to determine whether the United States will meet Russia’s demands and support European partners in easing sanctions. In Europe, it is considered too early to lift restrictions on Russia.
On March 11, U.S. representatives received Ukraine’s consent for a 30-day truce. However, Putin did not dismiss the idea but put forward his own conditions.